Week 12: Post-Mortem

Week 12 Record: 11-4-0 (SU), 8-7-0 (ATS), Confidence Score = 99/120, Survivor Pick = Baltimore Ravens (+)

Week 12 was a solid outing on SU, not so much on ATS where several games went oppo by narrow margins, and a reasonable confidence tally. I did NOT see the large spread getting covered on a short week, but kudos to the Saints for pulling exactly that trick. And this is after weeks of tooting their horn. I am a strong proponent for them, but was leery of the large 13 points, and I accept my lack of willingness. Let’s see how I address those large spreads come Week 13.

The Steelers got upended by the suddenly resurgent Broncos who want to apparently get a playoff spot this year. Not sure where it is coming from, but definitely makes things more interesting in the AFC. Likewise, the Seahawks dealt an interesting blow to the Panthers with the last minute victory to maintain pace and hang in there for a possible Wild Card slot. The Cowboys are suddenly looking good in the NFC East thanks to the injury to Alex Smith, which renders the Redskins kind of useless it seems.

On the flip side. the Raiders, Cardinals, and Niners all “improve” to 2-9 in the Nick Bosa sweepstakes – who will persevere? I am starting to reconsider as the Cardinals may be the best shot looking forward to NOT win another game. I also think the Jets may factor in yet – key is that remaining game against the Bills, as the Jets are likely out for top overall selection if they should decide to win another game. The Cardinals and Niners and Raiders are all likely to struggle to win more than one more from the looks of it.

BYE WEEK:Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams

SU = Straight Up, SU-C = Confidence Index (Straight Up), ATS = Against the Spread

Atul (SU) Atul (SU-C) Atul (ATS)
Chicago Bears (-3) at Detroit Lions Bears 8 Bears (-3)
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-7.5) Cowboys 12 Cowboys (-7.5)
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-13) Saints 13 Falcons (+13)
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5) at Buffalo Bills Jaguars 4 Jaguars (-3.5)
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-3) Bengals 5 Bengals (-3)
New England Patriots (-7.5) at New York Jets Patriots 15 Patriots (-7.5)
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-6) Eagles 10 Eagles (-6)
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) Buccaneers 7 Buccaneers (-3)
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers (-3) Panthers 3 Panthers (-3)
Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens (-10) Ravens 14 Ravens (-10)
Arizona Cardinals at San Diego Chargers (-11.5) Chargers 11 Chargers (-11.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) at Denver Broncos Steelers 9 Steelers (-3.5)
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (-9) Colts 1 Colts (-9)
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) Vikings 2 Vikings (-3.5)
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (5.5) Texans 6 Texans (-5.5)
Week 12 11-4-0 99/120 8-7-0
Overall 101-45-1 706/886 70-41-4

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